Abstract
Clinical and laboratory markers in current use have limited specificity and sensitivity for predicting the development of renal disease in lupus patients. In this longitudinal study, we investigated whether urinary neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin (uNGAL) predicts active nephritis and renal flares in lupus patients with and without a history of biopsy-proven lupus nephritis. Renal disease activity and flare status was determined by SLEDAI and BILAG scores. Random effects models were used to determine whether uNGAL was a significant predictor for renal disease activity in SLE patients, and for renal flares in patients with established nephritis. To assess the predictive performance of uNGAL, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were constructed using the previous visit's uNGAL level. These curves were then compared with curves constructed with currently used biomarkers. Cut-offs determined by ROC curves were tested in an independent validation cohort. uNGAL was found to be a significant predictor of renal disease activity in all SLE patients, and a significant predictor for flare in patients with a history of biopsy-proven nephritis, in multivariate models adjusting for age, race, sex and anti-double-stranded (ds)DNA antibody titres. As a predictor of renal flare in patients with biopsy-proven nephritis, uNGAL outperformed anti-dsDNA antibody titres. These results were confirmed in an independent validation cohort. uNGAL predicts renal flare in patients with a history of biopsy-proven nephritis with high sensitivity and specificity. Furthermore, uNGAL is a more sensitive and specific forecaster of renal flare in patients with a history of lupus nephritis than anti-dsDNA antibody titres.
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Pages (from-to) | 960-971 |
| Number of pages | 12 |
| Journal | Rheumatology |
| Volume | 49 |
| Issue number | 5 |
| DOIs | |
| State | Published - May 2010 |
Bibliographical note
Funding Information:Funding: This publication was made possible by the CTSA Grants UL1 RR025750 and KL2 RR025749 and TL1 RR025748 from the National Centre for Research Resources (NCRR), a component of the National Institutes of Health (NIH). Its content is solely the responsibility of the authors and does not necessarily represent the official view of the NCRR or NIH. This research was also supported by an NIH grant AR48692 (to C.P.). T.R. and N.S. were supported by Medical Student Research Preceptorship Awards from the American College of Rheumatology Research and Education Foundation and grants from the New York Chapter of the Arthritis Foundation. J.M.P.-R. was supported by grants from the Instituto de Salud Carlos III (Spanish Ministry of Health and Consume) and the Fundación Española de Reumatología (Spanish Society of Rheumatology).
Funding
Funding: This publication was made possible by the CTSA Grants UL1 RR025750 and KL2 RR025749 and TL1 RR025748 from the National Centre for Research Resources (NCRR), a component of the National Institutes of Health (NIH). Its content is solely the responsibility of the authors and does not necessarily represent the official view of the NCRR or NIH. This research was also supported by an NIH grant AR48692 (to C.P.). T.R. and N.S. were supported by Medical Student Research Preceptorship Awards from the American College of Rheumatology Research and Education Foundation and grants from the New York Chapter of the Arthritis Foundation. J.M.P.-R. was supported by grants from the Instituto de Salud Carlos III (Spanish Ministry of Health and Consume) and the Fundación Española de Reumatología (Spanish Society of Rheumatology).
| Funders | Funder number |
|---|---|
| Spanish Ministry of Health and Consume | |
| National Institutes of Health | |
| National Institute of Arthritis and Musculoskeletal and Skin Diseases | R56AR048692 |
| National Center for Research Resources | |
| American College of Rheumatology Research and Education Foundation | |
| Arthritis Foundation | |
| Instituto de Salud Carlos III | |
| Sociedad Española de Reumatología | |
| Fundación Española de Reumatología |
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