Uncovering social-contextual and individual mental health factors associated with violence via computational inference

Hernando Santamaría-García, Sandra Baez, Diego Mauricio Aponte-Canencio, Guido Orlando Pasciarello, Patricio Andrés Donnelly-Kehoe, Gabriel Maggiotti, Diana Matallana, Eugenia Hesse, Alejandra Neely, José Gabriel Zapata, Winston Chiong, Jonathan Levy, Jean Decety, Agustín Ibáñez

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

9 Scopus citations

Abstract

The identification of human violence determinants has sparked multiple questions from different academic fields. Innovative methodological assessments of the weight and interaction of multiple determinants are still required. Here, we examine multiple features potentially associated with confessed acts of violence in ex-members of illegal armed groups in Colombia (N = 26,349) through deep learning and feature-derived machine learning. We assessed 162 social-contextual and individual mental health potential predictors of historical data regarding consequentialist, appetitive, retaliative, and reactive domains of violence. Deep learning yields high accuracy using the full set of determinants. Progressive feature elimination revealed that contextual factors were more important than individual factors. Combined social network adversities, membership identification, and normalization of violence were among the more accurate social-contextual factors. To a lesser extent the best individual factors were personality traits (borderline, paranoid, and antisocial) and psychiatric symptoms. The results provide a population-based computational classification regarding historical assessments of violence in vulnerable populations. We assessed a comprehensive group of social-contextual and individual mental health factors to classify confessed acts of violence committed in the past among a large sample of Colombian ex-members of illegal armed groups (N = 26,349). We used a novel data-driven approach to classify subjects based on four confessed domains of violence (DoVs) and including two groups, (1) ex-members who admitted violent acts and (2) ex-members who denied violence in each DoV, matched by sex, age, and education stage. We found that accurate classification required both social-contextual and individual mental health factors, although the social-contextual factors were the most relevant. Our study provides population-based evidence on the factors associated with historical assessments of violence and describes a powerful analytical approach. This study opens up a new agenda for developing computational approaches for situated, multidimensional, and evidence-based assessments of violence. The study of human violence calls for methodological innovations. Here, we examined historical records for a large sample of ex-members of illegal armed groups in Colombia (N = 26,349) and combined deep learning and machine learning methods to identify the most relevant factors (>160) associated with different confessed domains of violence (DoVs). Results showed that accurate DoV classification required a combination of both social-contextual and individual mental health factors. The results support the development of computational approaches for multidimensional assessments of confessed DoV.

Original languageEnglish
Article number100176
JournalPatterns
Volume2
Issue number2
DOIs
StatePublished - 12 Feb 2021
Externally publishedYes

Bibliographical note

Publisher Copyright:
© 2020 The Authors

Funding

A.I. is partially supported by CONICET , ANID/FONDAP ( 15150012 ), PICT ( 2017-1818 and 2017-1820 ), the Inter-American Development Bank , Alzheimer's Association GBHI ALZ UK-20-639295, Alzheimer's Association SG-20-725707 , NIH /NIA R01 AG057234 , Tau Consortium , and the Global Brain Health Institute . This work was supported by the Colombian Agency for Reincorporation and Normalization (Agencia para la Reincorporación y la Normalización, ARN ). The contents of this publication are solely the responsibility of the authors and do not represent the official views of these institutions.

FundersFunder number
Agencia para la Reincorporación y la Normalización
Colombian Agency for Reincorporation and Normalization
National Institutes of Health
National Institute on AgingR01 AG057234
Alzheimer's AssociationSG-20-725707
Inter-American Development BankGBHI ALZ UK-20-639295
Global Brain Health Institute
Tau Consortium
Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas
Fondo de Financiamiento de Centros de Investigación en Áreas Prioritarias2017-1818, 15150012, 2017-1820
Agencia Nacional de Investigación y Desarrollo

    Keywords

    • DSML 5: Mainstream: Data science output is well understood and (nearly) universally adopted
    • deep neural networks
    • ex-members of illegal armed groups
    • machine learning methods
    • mental disorders
    • mental health
    • personality traits
    • social adversity
    • social resources
    • violence

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