Temporal structure of volatility fluctuations

Fengzhong Wang, Kazuko Yamasaki, H. Eugene Stanley, Shlomo Havlin

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionpeer-review

Abstract

Volatility fluctuations are of great importance for the study of financial markets, and the temporal structure is an essential feature of fluctuations. To explore the temporal structure, we employ a new approach based on the return interval, which is defined as the time interval between two successive volatility values that are above a given threshold. We find that the distribution of the return intervals follows a scaling law over a wide range of thresholds, and over a broad range of sampling intervals. Moreover, this scaling law is universal for stocks of different countries, for commodities, for interest rates, and for currencies. However, further and more detailed analysis of the return intervals shows some systematic deviations from the scaling law. We also demonstrate a significant memory effect in the return intervals time organization. We find that the distribution of return intervals is strongly related to the correlations in the volatility.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationEconophysics Approaches to Large-Scale Business Data and Financial Crisis - Proceedings of the Tokyo Tech-Hitotsubashi Interdisciplinary Conference + APFA7, THIC+APFA7 2009
PublisherSpringer Japan
Pages65-77
Number of pages13
ISBN (Print)9784431538523
DOIs
StatePublished - 2010
EventInternational Conference on Tokyo Tech-Hitotsubashi Interdisciplinary + Applications of Physics in Financial Analysis: New Approaches to the Analysis of Large-Scale Business and Economic Data, THIC+APFA7 2009 - Tokyo, Japan
Duration: 1 Mar 20095 Mar 2009

Publication series

NameEconophysics Approaches to Large-Scale Business Data and Financial Crisis - Proceedings of the Tokyo Tech-Hitotsubashi Interdisciplinary Conference + APFA7, THIC+APFA7 2009

Conference

ConferenceInternational Conference on Tokyo Tech-Hitotsubashi Interdisciplinary + Applications of Physics in Financial Analysis: New Approaches to the Analysis of Large-Scale Business and Economic Data, THIC+APFA7 2009
Country/TerritoryJapan
CityTokyo
Period1/03/095/03/09

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