Purely subjective maxmin expected utility

Shiri Alon, David Schmeidler

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

24 Scopus citations

Abstract

The Maxmin Expected Utility decision rule suggests that the decision maker can be characterized by a utility function and a set of prior probabilities, such that the chosen act maximizes the minimal expected utility, where the minimum is taken over the priors in the set. Gilboa and Schmeidler axiomatized the maxmin decision rule in an environment where acts map states of nature into simple lotteries over a set of consequences. This approach presumes that objective probabilities exist, and, furthermore, that the decision maker is an expected utility maximizer when faced with risky choices (involving only objective probabilities). This paper presents axioms for a derivation of the maxmin decision rule in a purely subjective setting, where acts map states to points in a connected topological space. This derivation does not rely on a pre-existing notion of probabilities, and, importantly, does not assume the von Neumann and Morgenstern (vNM) expected utility model for decision under risk. The axioms employed are simple and each refers to a bounded number of variables.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)382-412
Number of pages31
JournalJournal of Economic Theory
Volume152
Issue number1
DOIs
StatePublished - 2014

Bibliographical note

Funding Information:
We thank the Israeli Science Foundation for a partial financial support, grant numbers: 975/03 , 396/10 , 204/13 .

Funding

We thank the Israeli Science Foundation for a partial financial support, grant numbers: 975/03 , 396/10 , 204/13 .

FundersFunder number
Israel Science Foundation204/13, 396/10, 975/03

    Keywords

    • Biseparable preference
    • Maxmin Expected Utility
    • Purely subjective probability
    • Tradeoff consistency
    • Uncertainty aversion

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