Causes and predictors of recurrent unplanned hospital admissions in heart failure patients: a cohort study

Despite progress in therapy, heart failure (HF) inflicts a heavy burden of hospital admissions. In this study, we identified among 1360 community-dwelling HF patients (mean age 70.7 ± 11.3 years, 72.5% men) subgroups sharing similar profiles of unplanned hospital admissions, based on the admission causes and frequency of each cause. Hospital discharge summaries were reviewed for the main admission cause. Patient subgroups were identified via cluster analysis. We investigated baseline predictors associated with these subgroups, using multinomial logistic models. During 3421 patient-years, there were 5192 hospital admissions, of which 4252 (82%) were unplanned. We identified five patient subgroups (clusters 1–5) with distinctive hospitalization profiles. HF accounted for approximately one-third of admissions in the first patient cluster (23% of the patient sample). In contrast, patients in the second cluster (39% of the patient sample) were hospitalized for various reasons, with no single prominent admission cause identified. The other three clusters, comprising 16% of the patient sample, accounted for 42% of all unplanned hospitalizations. While patients in the third cluster were hospitalized mainly due to ischemic heart disease and arrhythmia, patients in the fourth and fifth clusters shared a high burden of recurrent HF admissions. The five patient clusters differed by baseline predictors, including age, functional capacity, comorbidity burden, hemoglobin, and cause of HF. HF patients differ significantly in the causes and overall burden of unplanned hospitalizations. The patient subgroups identified and predictors for these subgroups may guide personalized interventions to reduce the burden of unplanned hospitalizations among HF patients. Trial registration: ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT00533013. Registered 20 September 2007. https://clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT00533013.