Abstract
We consider the dynamics of reasoning by general rules (theories) and by specific cases (analogies). When an agent faces an exogenous process, we show that, under mild conditions, if reality happens to be simple, the agent will converge to adopt a theory and discard analogical thinking. If, however, reality is complex, analogical reasoning is unlikely to disappear. By contrast, when the agent is a player in a large population coordination game, and the process is generated by all players' predictions, convergence to a theory is much more likely. This may explain how a large population of players selects an equilibrium in such a game, and how social norms emerge. Mixed cases, involving noisy endogenous processes are likely to give rise to complex dynamics of reasoning, switching between theories and analogies.
Original language | English |
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Pages (from-to) | 267-283 |
Number of pages | 17 |
Journal | Games and Economic Behavior |
Volume | 83 |
DOIs | |
State | Published - Jan 2014 |
Bibliographical note
Funding Information:We are grateful to two referees and an associate editor for comments and references. Gilboa gratefully acknowledges ISF Grant 396/10 and ERC Grant 269754 .
Funding
We are grateful to two referees and an associate editor for comments and references. Gilboa gratefully acknowledges ISF Grant 396/10 and ERC Grant 269754 .
Funders | Funder number |
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Seventh Framework Programme | 269754 |
European Commission | |
Israel Science Foundation | 396/10 |
Keywords
- Case-based reasoning
- Equilibrium selection
- Model selection
- Rule-based reasoning
- Social norms