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Agency Under Prediction: A Review of The Human Test

Research output: Contribution to journalComment/debate

Abstract

We live in an era where predictive models, large-scale behavioral data, and AI systems increasingly forecast human choices at scale. Yet foundational questions about human agency, freedom, and consciousness remain unsettled. The Human Test by Ron Folman timely enters this debate. The book proposes a practical test of human predictability, arguing that high forecastability would challenge ordinary notions of free will and reframe our understanding of full human “life” and some sort of mental “death” as states defined by predictability. Triggered by a seemingly simple question “are they alive?” directed to the cold atoms in his lab, the author seeks answers regarding us, humans, consisting of a large set of interacting atoms. In this review, I first motivate why such inquiries are relevant in today's AI- and data-driven world. I then offer a brief description of the book's central ambition and main takeaways. Furthermore, I develop a constructive critique that clarifies where the book's framing could be sharpened. I close by suggesting a slight refinement of the central thesis that preserves the book's empirical program, as well as a final appraisal.

Original languageEnglish
Article numbere70042
JournalNatural Sciences
Volume6
Issue number1
DOIs
StatePublished - Jan 2026

Bibliographical note

Publisher Copyright:
© 2025 The Author(s). Natural Sciences published by Wiley-VCH GmbH.

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