ערכת היעילות של נקיטת מדיניות אקטיבית בשוק העבודה כלפי נשים עולות

In this paper we analyze alternative policies regarding government-sponsored training programs and enhancing employment opportunities of female immigrants in high-skill occupations. The analysis is based on expansion of the structural dynamic model that was originally estimated by Cohen-Goldner and Eckstein (2004) using panel data on immigrants' choices and wages during their first five years in Israel. In addition, we use new data that enable us to follow a sub-sample of these immigrants for a period of ten years since migration. The paper demonstrates that the out of sample predictions are consistent with national cross-sectional data as well as with the additional panel data regarding the occupational choices and unemployment of female immigrants during their first 10 years in Israel. ALMP analysis shows that a policy which provides immigrants free access to one government-sponsored training program during the first five years leads to substantial social and private gains that are mainly due to the reduction of unemployment among training participants. We further find that a policy which doubles the job offers that immigrants receive in white-collar occupations may also lead to substantial private and social gains, though implementation of this policy is much more complicated and expensive.